In this video, I discuss the dynamics surrounding the 11 May 2020 Bitcoin halving, with a focus on Bitcoin mining economics. The miner block subsidy just fell from 12.50 BTC to 6.25 BTC, thus making many of the older mining rigs suddenly unprofitable-- unless Bitcoin prices move sharply higher soon.
Whether these older mining rigs are forced to shut down sooner or later does not matter in the big picture, as new more energy-efficient Bitcoin mining rigs are already being deployed and are increasing the total hash rate of the Bitcoin network.
In the second half of my video, I examine possible Bitcoin price targets over the coming 4 years, using Plan B's stock to flow valuation models. Price target estimates range from about $30,000 to over $288,000. The Fed's inflationary monetary policy leads me to believe that Bitcoin will trade at or above $288,000 by the end of 2021.
Not investment advice! Consult a financial adviser.
My favorite Bitcoin dashboard:
https://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/dashboard/
Bitcoin blockchain explorer:
https://www.blockchain.com/explorer
Bitcoin miner capitulation?
https://twitter.com/mjdsouza2/status/1259992239582982145
Bitcoin hash rate continues to climb:
https://www.blockchain.com/charts/hash-rate
Bitcoin money supply:
https://www.blockchain.com/charts/total-bitcoins
M2 money supply:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2
U.S. Treasury to borrow $3 trillion:
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-us-treasury-plans-to-borrow-a-record-3-trillion-in-the-second-quarter-to-fight-coronavirusmore-than-twice-what-it-borrowed-in-all-of-fiscal-2019-2020-05-04
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/11/mnuchin-says-hes-comfortable-spending-3-trillion-because-treasury-can-lock-in-very-low-rates.html
Pantera Capital letter:
https://medium.com/@PanteraCapital/macro-impact-on-bitcoin-pantera-blockchain-letter-april-2020-1fdc792d4f33
Plan B's Bitcoin stock to flow models:
https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/modeling-bitcoins-value-with-scarcity-91fa0fc03e25
https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/bitcoin-stock-to-flow-cross-asset-model-50d260feed12
https://twitter.com/100trillionUSD/status/1260175037124022273
Bitcoin stock to flow charts:
https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/stock-to-flow-model/
https://digitalik.net/btc/
Matthew Kratter is the author of the Amazon best-seller "A Beginner's Guide to the Stock Market":
https://www.amazon.com/Beginners-Guide-Stock-Market-Everything-ebook/dp/B07S31TBF5
If you like my teaching style and would like to learn more about investing and trading stocks, options, and futures, be sure to check out my online courses here:
https://www.trader.university/join
Use this secret coupon code to get a discount: YT99
#Bitcoin
#BitcoinHalving
Disclaimer
Neither Trader University, nor any of its directors, officers, shareholders, personnel, representatives, agents, or independent contractors (collectively, the “Operator Parties”) are licensed financial advisers, registered investment advisers, or registered broker-dealers. None of the Operator Parties are providing investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, and nothing in this video or at www.Trader.University (henceforth, “the Site”) should be construed as such by you. This video and the Site should be used as educational tools only and are not replacements for professional investment advice. There is a high risk in trading.
Whether these older mining rigs are forced to shut down sooner or later does not matter in the big picture, as new more energy-efficient Bitcoin mining rigs are already being deployed and are increasing the total hash rate of the Bitcoin network.
In the second half of my video, I examine possible Bitcoin price targets over the coming 4 years, using Plan B's stock to flow valuation models. Price target estimates range from about $30,000 to over $288,000. The Fed's inflationary monetary policy leads me to believe that Bitcoin will trade at or above $288,000 by the end of 2021.
Not investment advice! Consult a financial adviser.
My favorite Bitcoin dashboard:
https://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/dashboard/
Bitcoin blockchain explorer:
https://www.blockchain.com/explorer
Bitcoin miner capitulation?
https://twitter.com/mjdsouza2/status/1259992239582982145
Bitcoin hash rate continues to climb:
https://www.blockchain.com/charts/hash-rate
Bitcoin money supply:
https://www.blockchain.com/charts/total-bitcoins
M2 money supply:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2
U.S. Treasury to borrow $3 trillion:
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-us-treasury-plans-to-borrow-a-record-3-trillion-in-the-second-quarter-to-fight-coronavirusmore-than-twice-what-it-borrowed-in-all-of-fiscal-2019-2020-05-04
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/11/mnuchin-says-hes-comfortable-spending-3-trillion-because-treasury-can-lock-in-very-low-rates.html
Pantera Capital letter:
https://medium.com/@PanteraCapital/macro-impact-on-bitcoin-pantera-blockchain-letter-april-2020-1fdc792d4f33
Plan B's Bitcoin stock to flow models:
https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/modeling-bitcoins-value-with-scarcity-91fa0fc03e25
https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/bitcoin-stock-to-flow-cross-asset-model-50d260feed12
https://twitter.com/100trillionUSD/status/1260175037124022273
Bitcoin stock to flow charts:
https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/stock-to-flow-model/
https://digitalik.net/btc/
Matthew Kratter is the author of the Amazon best-seller "A Beginner's Guide to the Stock Market":
https://www.amazon.com/Beginners-Guide-Stock-Market-Everything-ebook/dp/B07S31TBF5
If you like my teaching style and would like to learn more about investing and trading stocks, options, and futures, be sure to check out my online courses here:
https://www.trader.university/join
Use this secret coupon code to get a discount: YT99
#Bitcoin
#BitcoinHalving
Disclaimer
Neither Trader University, nor any of its directors, officers, shareholders, personnel, representatives, agents, or independent contractors (collectively, the “Operator Parties”) are licensed financial advisers, registered investment advisers, or registered broker-dealers. None of the Operator Parties are providing investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, and nothing in this video or at www.Trader.University (henceforth, “the Site”) should be construed as such by you. This video and the Site should be used as educational tools only and are not replacements for professional investment advice. There is a high risk in trading.
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