Bear Market PlanBear Market Planhttps://www.patreon.com/InvestAnswers
#Bitcoin #Ethereum #BearMarket #ExitStrategy #HowToTeachKidstoInvest #Taxes #DCA

Weekly Q&A Questions from all over the world on all matters that are top of mind today.

DISCLAIMER: The opinions expressed in the video are for general informational purposes only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual or on any specific security or investment product. It is only intended to provide education about the financial industry.

0:00 Intro
0:10 Congrats to 2 New Wholecoiners

1:00 -Stephen in Australia
I like buying dip, staking and holding…
could I sell BTC at the top and buy back in at the bottom?

2:00 Risks of Staking
Locking up for a period of time
When you need to sell quickly can be an issue
Make sure you only stake things you want to hold long term

2:30 Market Timing - Hard but Possible
Top Spotting!
Know where you are in the cycle (eg BTC cycle)
Not all crypto runs in the same cycle (eg ETH) top last cycle was later than BTC
There is a correlation with a lag
Look for spikes outside Bollinger Bands and RSI
Know the macro
Watch BTC dominance (see later Stephen)
Check my price targets

3:00 Bottom Fishing Market Timing - Hard but Possible


38.2%
50%
61.8%
78.6%
100%

4:00 -Ryan in the USA
Al talk about Awesome AltCoin projects - but now BTC ratio to Alts is at an all time low.
What do you think about that?

Dom chart 1-2 wks
Garbage coins
Wake up call
Move from most spec to least spec assets
Time to add quality names
Flight to quality
Bitcoin Dominance
8 DAYS

6:00 -Jeffrey aus Berlin Room for bull market to keep running - what is plan for bear market? HOLDING or take some capital gains off?

7:00 Bear Market Plan “The best-laid plans of mice and men often go awry”
Need to see where we go - the world is different
Track true transformational impact of crypto and holdings and supply on exchanges
See if there are better investments eg if Tesla nail FSD and Robotaxis are imminent
Even real estate investment opps
Option/future hedge options
Some will be sold esp my spec alts
Cycles can be preempted
Will Hold BTC and ETH as long as viable


Fear of Losing Out
The Bottom is still near 100K
Timing the Top is hard

8:00 -Amir What’s your exit strategy in a bull market and when do you take some profits?

First model is what I call the Target RII 20/50
Modify and accelerate
You forego big profits over HODLing
Tesla Case 40-850
MSTR Case 1300-450
When To Take Profits
eg ADA 1000 at $1
Price
Gain
Coin Balance
Profit Taking
Balance
Cost Basis
$1.00
1,000
$1,000
Target
$3.00
1,000
$3,000
At Target remove initial investment
$3.00
300.00%
-333
$999
$2,001
Sell 20% every 50% Gain
$3.00
667
$2,001
Sell 20% every 50% Gain
$4.50
-133
$600
$2,401.20
Sell 20% every 50% Gain
$6.75
534
$3,601.80
Sell 20% every 50% Gain
$10.13
-107
$1,081
$4,322.16
Sell 20% every 50% Gain
$15.19
427
$6,483.24
Sell 20% every 50% Gain
$22.78
-85
$1,945
$7,779.89
Profit Taken
$4,625
Unrealized Profit
$6,779.89
Profit if you HODLd
$21,781.25

9:00 Know your taxes
Saw huge Crypto Sell Offs in order to pay capital gains
STCG can mean you need a 44% drop to get back in
A Word On Taxes
Bitcoin
Price
%
Dip Price you need to get back in
%
Cost Basis
$10,000
Price
$100,000
Capital Gain
$90,000
TAXES OWED
New BTC Entry Price
Short Term Capital Gains Tax CA
$44,027
48.92%
$55,973
-44.03%
Short Term Capital Gains Tax NV
$34,920
38.80%
$65,080
-34.92%
Long Term Capital Gains Tax CA
$26,027
28.92%
$73,973
-26.03%
Long Term Capital Gains Tax NV
$13,500
15.00%
$86,500
-13.50%

14:00 :-Preston from Beijing Best way for kids to get started investing?
What can I do? What do I put them into?

My Teenage Influence: Gordon Gekko (Wall Street)
Teach them that freedom is good - greed is not!
Allow them to invest in something if they can tell you exactly what it does and what makes it unique (help them become analysts)
Teach them the importance of investing and how their future is going to be expensive eg total cost per kid
Hold long term assets and short term speculation eg BTC at 30K and DOGE at 19cents (5% or a few dollars just to learn the dangers)

Start a spreadsheet knowing the total cost per kid
Make a goal
Work backward

22:00 CONCLUSION:
This recent manipulation and portfolio losses for many has been hard
This hardening causes some to give up and run
Others to be more cautious in strategies
Nobody knows where this is all going
But macro backdrop and the smart money is going into crypto at a scale the world has never seen
Each person is unique - sharpen your tools (I share mine) and build your own plan!


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